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118th Boston Marathon - 2014 Preview

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Boston Marathon 2014 - The Preview
by John Elliott

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Dennis Kimetto Owns the
Best in the Field?

photo credit: Victah Sailer/PhotoRun

The Men's Race
Deep and Fast Field
Press Releases or articles for the eliete fields at top marathons often start with the raw numbers and Boston has these: Five men who have run sub-2:05, two additional who have run sub-2:06 and three more who have run sub-2:07. It wasn't long ago that sub-2:10 was some sort of standard and the Boston field will have sixteen men who have beaten that standard. Among that crew and a few who are just off that standard are seven Americans who have run 2:12 or better including all of the best American men who will be running a marathon this year. The official list of "elite" starters includes twenty-six runners altogether.

The Africans
The top marathoners in the world hail from Kenya and Ethiopia - that is just a fact. We could argue whether it is in the genes, because of the culture of running, because much of those countries is at altitude - but it doesn't really matter. Dominating the field are the Kenyans and Ethiopians - the race being an especial favorite of Kenyan runenrs who grew up watching the Kenyan greats running and winning the Boston marathon. Top in the field - and the man we would count as our favorite is Dennis Kimmetto. Kimetto has run only three marathons, but the AVERAGE of those three marathons is 2:04:57, better than the personal best (on a record-worthy course) of all but one of his competitors. Kimetto was runner-up in his first martahon and then won his next two in course-record fashion, his most recent run (2:03:45) being only 22 seconds off the world record. New to running, Kimetto seems to have nowhere to go but up. Defending chamipon Desisa Lelisa won the Dubai Marathon in 2013 and followed that up with a win at the Boston Marathon and a Silver Medal at the World Championships Marathon in Moscow - at 24, Desisa is also one who has potential to continue to excel. Rounding out the top Africans and our top picks are Wilson Chebet who has won the last three Amsterdam Marathons in times under 2:06 and Gebre Gebremariam, a past New York City Marathon champion and past Boston Marathon third place finisher - and others.

The Americans
The big story for the 2014 Boston Marathon is the race's ability to bring in ALL of the top Americans currently running the marathon - and as much as the overall race, we will look forward to seeing how the Americans stack up against each other to give us an idea of where we will be heading into the 2016 Olympics. Ryan Hall holds the best American times in the marathon, but has had middling success at Boston (third in 2009 and fourth in 2010 and 2011). Meb Keflezehi, the 2004 Olympic Silver Medalist, was the top American at the 2012 Olympic Trials and was fourth at the 20112 Olympics - at 38 he is the oldest in the elite field, but is always tough. Abdi Abdirahman made the 2012 Olympic team in the marathon, although we aren't completely convinced that his heart is in the marathon distance. Brett Gotcher, at 29, ran a personal best at Houston in 2010 and was near the top of the list to make the 2012 Olympic team, but missed by two spots. Jason Hartmann has proven to be tough on the Boston course, finishing as top American and fourth overall in both 2012 and 2013. Nick Arciniaga was crowned USA Marathon Champion with his win at the 2013 Championships race. And Jeffrey Eggleston is coming off a strong run at the 2013 World Championships Marathon. And while we don't believe any of these Americans will win the Boston Marathon, we look forward to see how they compete in the international field.

The Women's Race
As with the men's race, the women's race will feature top African runners and virtually all of the top Americans. Again, we look to the Africans for the overall podium finishers, but look to see how the Americans can stack up. That said, two Americans have the potential to surprise: Shalane Flanagan and Desiree Linden (nee DAvila).

The Africans
Rita Jeptoo was a surprise winner of the Boston Marathon in 2006 and finished third in 2008. Jeptoo then disappeared from the running scene to have a child and a break - and in late 2011 returned to running better than she ever had with breakthrough performances in Chicago, a repeat win at Boston in 2013 and a personal best sub-2:20 win at the 2013 Chicago Marathon. With her continued improvement and comeback experience, we believe that Jeptoo will be the one to beat. Mare Dibaba holds the fastest personal best in the field and was the winner of the Xiamen Marathon in China in January in a course record. Some would wonder if a marathon in January and another in April is a poor recipe for success, but the Ethiopian runners have a good history of doubling at tough January/April marathons...perhaps Dibaba can continue this tradition. Jemima Sumgong followed Jeptoo to a runner-up spot in the 2013 Chicago Marathon and will be a strong contender for a podium spot. Sharon Cherop and Caroline Kilel as past Boston Marathon winners will also be competitive.

The Americans
No American has won the Boston Marathon since 1985 and sadly it will continue to be a longshot. Shalane Flanagan, the American record holder at 10,000m has the raw talent to compete and was fourth at Boston in 2013 - but her 2:26:07 personal best at the marathon puts her back in the field. A slow start and first miles might let Flanagan prevail. Desiree Linden (nee Davila) is the other top American contender. She ran to the runner-up spot at Boston in 2011, but was later sidelined by injuries. Her 2:29:15 at the 2013 Berlin Marathon shows that she is getting back in shape, and on Marathon Monday we will see how far she has come. Amy Hastings, Serena Burla and Adriana Nelson are among the few American women who have run sub-2:29 that are now running marathons - and we look forward to seeing how they fare to give us a glimpse of who may be ready to compete to represent the USA at the 2016 Olympics.

Elite Lineup:

Male Elite Athletes
AthleteCountryBibPersonal BestBoston
Lelisa Desisa (24)ETH12:04:45, Dubai, 2013 History
Dennis Kimetto (30)KEN32:03:45, Chicago, 2013 History
Gebre Gebremariam (29)ETH42:04:53, Boston, 2011 History
Markos Geneti (30)ETH52:04:54, Dubai, 2012 History
Ryan Hall (31)USA62:04:58, Boston, 2011 History
Wilson Chebet (28)KEN72:05:27, Rotterdam, 2011 History
Tilahun Regassa (24)ETH82:05:27, Chicago, 2012 History
Eric Ndiema (21)KEN102:06:07, Amsterdam, 2011 History
Frankline Chepkwony (29)KEN112:06:11, Eindhoven, 2012 History
Micah Kogo (27)KEN122:06:56, Chicago, 2013 History
Adil Annani (33)MOR142:07:43, London, 2012 History
Paul Lonyangata (21)KEN152:07:44, Xiamen, 2013 History
Joel Kimurer (26)KEN162:08:18, Valencia, 2012 History
Lusapho April (31)RSA172:08:32, Hannover, 2013 History
Abdi Abdirahman (37)USA182:08:56, Chicago, 2006 History
Mebrahtom Keflezighi (38)USA192:09:08, 2012 U.S. Olympic Team Trials - Men's Marathon, 2012 History
Brett Gotcher (29)USA202:10:36, Houston, 2010 History
Jason Hartmann (34)USA212:11:06, Chicago, 2010 History
Nicholas Arciniaga (30)USA222:11:30, Houston, 2011 History
Vitaliy Shafar (32)UKR232:16:36, London Olympics, 2012 History
Jeffrey Eggleston (29)USA242:12:03, Chicago, 2012 History
Mathew Bowen (31)KEN252:10:57, Rennes 2013 History
Moses Mosop (28)KEN2:03:06, Boston, 2011 History
Shami Dawud (29)ETH2:05:42, Dubai, 2012 History
Dathan Ritzenhein (31)USA2:07:47, Chicago, 2012 History
Jeffrey Hunt (31)AUS2:11:00, Beppu, 2010 History
Female Elite Athletes
AthleteCountryBibPersonal BestBoston
Rita Jeptoo (33)KEN12:19:57, Chicago, 2013 History
Mare Dibaba (24)ETH22:19:52, Dubai, 2012 History
Jemima Jelagat Sumgong (29)KEN32:20:48, Chicago, 2013 History
Meseret Hailu (23)ETH42:21:09, Amsterdam, 2012 History
Eunice Kirwa (28)KEN52:21:41, Amsterdam, 2012 History
Sharon Cherop (30)KEN62:22:28, Berlin, 2013 History
Caroline Kilel (33)KEN72:22:34, Frankfurt, 2013 History
Desiree Linden (30)USA82:22:38, Xiamen, 2008 History
Flomena Chepchichir (32)KEN92:23:00, Frankfurt, 2013 History
Buzunesh Deba (26)ETH102:23:19, New York City, 2011 History
Tatiana Petrova Arkhipova (31)RUS112:23:29, London Olympics, 2012 History
Aleksandra Duliba (26)BEL122:23:44, Chicago, 2013 History
Yeshi Esayias (28)ETH142:24:06, Frankfurt, 2013 History
Philes Ongori (27)KEN152:24:20, Rotterdam, 2011 History
Belaynesh Oljira (23)ETH162:25:01, Dubai, 2014 History
Shalane Flanagan (32)USA172:25:38, Tokyo, 2009 History
Yolanda Caballero (32)COL182:26:17, Nagoya, 2013 History
Amy Hastings (30)USA192:27:03, Ad-Dawhah, 2006 History
Lanni Marchant (30)CAN202:28:00, Toronto, 2013 History
Serena Burla (31)USA212:28:01, Istanbul, 2011 History
Noriko Higuchi (28)JPN222:28:49, Carpi, 2006 History
Adriana Nelson (34)USA232:28:52, London, 2008 History
Adriana Aparecida Da Silva (32)BRA242:29:17, New York City, 2010 History
Meselech Melkamu (28)ETH252:21:01, Frankfurt, 2012 History


 

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