I played around with the running calculators on this site (have you checked them out?). Plugging in your 10 mile time, your predicted time for the marathon is slightly slower than your 3:45 upper range, but maybe you've improved since then or had a bad day?
I'd recommend starting slow - 8:40 to 8:45 for the first 5 or 6 miles. Let all the "speedsters" go, you'll probably see most of them again later. After 5 or 6 you'll probably be feeling pretty good, go with the flow and as long as it feels comfortable, shoot for about 8:30 pace. Don't get carried away though! 8:30 still shouldn't feel that hard. Hold that pace for as long as possible.
The rest of your training looks good. I think you're ready. Now just hope for some good weather! Good Luck.
Post a reply on the Bulletin Board | Send email reply to Ski