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Even when you find a pace that works well for you, you have to factor in other things like wind, heat, hills, etc. If you run a 9:30 mile, with the wind factored in you may actually be expending effort equivalent to a 9:15 mile, for example, which over even 8 miles may begin to fatigue you, especially if you were going out too fast to begin with. You always slow down when you go up a hill...you need to do the same if it's very hot or very windy, etc. Try not to go out looking for an exact pace. It's the effort that is important. That is why a lot of people like to use heart-rate monitors. That way regardless of the conditions they know relatively how much effort they are expending and can adjust.
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